Monday, September 16, 2013
Saturday, September 14, 2013
CANELO: IN OVER HIS HEAD; UNTIL HE ISN'T, BOXING AND PRODIGY
Flunky De jure Leonard Ellerbe would say the former, that the
red headed Mexican is yet another version of “insert Latin opponent here” and
many of you agree. Picking Floyd to win at this stage in his career isn’t the
mark of “knowing some shit about boxing” as Uncle Roger would say; it would
merely be seen as a sign of playing it safe. But where’s the imagination in
that? And what can be more exciting than seeing a young man grow into himself
before your eyes? History would illustrate that Floyd Mayweather (despite the
issue of size) is as safe a bet as a primed Mike Tyson or Sonny Liston, but
time tells us conventional wisdom is often offset when a prodigy arrives. We
can plan on reliable veterans like Miguel Cotto putting on a great show, but we
never know when a youngster decides he is more than what you’ve labeled him as.
Canelo asked for Floyd, and Floyd “asked”
(no I’m not buying it Leonard) that he chop off a leg which is telling given
the fact that Floyd reminds us that he beat De La Hoya “at his weight” of 154
lbs. That concession alone is foretelling, evidence that Mayweather wasn’t too
secure against the unforeseen, that unpredictable element a prodigious youth
can provide.
Floyd is a genius at messaging, but the trait we love and
hate about young folks is that they don’t listen. Canelo is famously serine, a
byproduct of being thrown into an adult setting so young like many Mexican
greats.
Ultimately the “Money Team” got around to letting all opponents
know they aren’t used to being “under the bright lights” and they are in over
their heads. Usually this may be a fact with anyone giving up huge advantages
in Big Fight experience and skill, except in the rare case of the prodigy,
something Floyd knows all about. He may be comfortable with “the stage” but the
stage will always be in concert with nature, when the time has come it (the stage)
will send no notice. Floyd himself was “the kid” all the way back in 1998 when
he stepped in against Genaro Hernandez and looking back on it we forget the
common wisdom that he was moving a bit too fast. What we didn’t know then and
still don’t know now is the exact time a “would be” prodigy blossoms, but when
they do it is always at the expense of an All Time Great. Could “All Access” or
“24/7” have been able to capture a hint of anything in 1964 when Cassius Clay
bloomed into a big, athletic postmodern heavyweight? I doubt it, because even
Clay wasn’t as sure as history leads you to believe. We only see the prospect
being “moved” (Mayweather points out Canelo’s presence on undercards) with expertise up a ladder but we never see
any hard evidence of greatness, Canelo like most is a “subject” of
projections-even Floyd himself contends he’ll be “great someday”. We however tend
to be like Floyd, watching and calculating based on data (analyzing past performances against common
foes) so we have to remain cold and analytical
about something that really isn’t when youth is involved. Ever notice men
raising daughters always find out too late she’s developed into a young woman
right under the same roof? because we look at hard evidence like birth
certificates-we don’t do day to day.
In Boxing a youngster coming of age can be extremely dangerous
to elders.
Young people have the benefit of contempt for authority and “order”,
a 30 year old is more likely to start mentally spending his money when Floyd Mayweather
starts whipping counters over his jab than a prodigy who inherently is willing to die. When faced with assured destruction
an experienced “man” (Cotto, Guerrero) knows how to subdue his internal adrenalin
just enough to lack urgency- while young George Foreman did what he “did” to
Joe Frazier because he was scared shitless. Even Bernard Hopkins had to learn
which youngsters it was ok to mess with, Mayweather just might be messing with
the wrong kid.
Cotto didn’t think he was conceding, because only a 23 year old
version of himself can tell him this. Alvarez in his youth is less likely to “think”
Saturday night and I applaud this because it’s the “thinking” that gets
Mayweather opponents in trouble. Floyd’s father can predict fatigue with a
world of credibility but since when has he or his son been 23? Do they even
remember what that sense of immortality feels like? Floyd’s underrated chin is
rarely checked, and when it has been it has been at the hands of “men” like
Judah and Mosley who either peeter out or admire their work- Canelo is a boy
and vicious boys break things.
There is no prodigy (Tyson, Chavez Sr., Louis etc.) in the
history of Boxing you wanted to “see” at 23 regardless of “who” they were
facing-the only question is will Canelo join this group.
“If” Canelo is a prodigy he will be childlike, precocious and
destructive, unaware that he isn’t “supposed” to be doing what he’s doing- because
revolutions are always initiated by the young. Most of Boxing’s vandalism is
committed by young men hell-bent on letting you know they “exist”, what better
way to announce this than to piss on a monument?. 30 year olds succumb to chess
players like Floyd, but a prodigious 23 year old may just have the balls (and
youthful clarity) to flip the damned chess board over. It never crossed Wilfred
Benitez’s mind he was only 17 when he did what he did to Antonio Cervantes in
1976, and given what followed he didn’t have any reverence for the feat
afterwards. He thought he’d do stuff like that forever, but age taught him that
forever is written in blood. Canelo is
so young that he (like Yusiel Puig) can do a lot of things “wrong” but end up
doing the big things right, like most new music genres that coincidently always
kill off superior musicians with guts
and intensity alone.
It’s up to Canelo if he is to be Johnny Rotten, Kirk Cobain
or Grandmaster Flash. And it will be our pleasure to lie about it 10 years from
now (as we do with Floyd) and say “I told you so”.
Floyd playing the “Resume Card”
Floyd likes to hold his resume against every opponent
reminding them of his legacy and all of the great fighters he’s defeated. 21-0
in Championship bouts is worthy of a TMT T Shirt but it too can be debased in a
blood sport like Boxing, if Canelo is committed to putting Floyd on his ass there’s
no piece of paper in the world that will save him. Mayweather's confidence (and
comfort) is well founded because 17
years is a long time, so long that his critics can’t even talk to a whole segment
of his fan base who were 10 years old in 2002-many of them (like Canelo) are 23.
Let’s play a little “name game”, what do Doug Jones, Andy
Price, Pete Ranzany and Tony Pep all have in common? These were all guys who
faught Ray Leonard, Cassius Clay, and Floyd Mayweather before they “became” who
they are and none of them were of the caliber of Austin Trout. In fact none of
these men have a victory over a fighter the caliber of Miguel Cotto before
facing the 3 prodigies listed above.
Canelo may suffer from our perception of what a prodigy “is”
because we generally associate this moniker with athletic, slick boxers. Prodigious
fighters simply have to be talented and mature beyond their years, had Cotto
(32) punched in the combination (and variation) of a “green” Canelo in his 2012
bout with Floyd he may have again been the opponent this past May. Even Shane
Mosley warns not of power (Floyd has seen it all) but maturity, the kind of “grown
man” skills that won’t tip his hand so early in a fight like older contemporaries.
When Floyd was young legendary trainers spoke of subtleties and nuance unseen
since the 1940’s and Canelo (if prodigious) may possess some of the same
intricacy. In terms of confidence Floyd may be looking at the closest facsimile
of himself (between the ears) since he started his bankable run as Boxing’s PPV
star.
Prodigy is not of our making, and seeing one emerge is one of
the more magical aspects in Boxing because they come along so rarely. Canelo
Alvarez “is” in way over his head, until he isn’t; and that alone is
why this is not just another fight.
This is The One
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